Synopsis : A new NFAP report warns that Trump’s strict immigration policies could severely weaken the U.S. economy. The study predicts a $12 trillion GDP loss and a 15.7 million worker shortfall by 2035, alongside a sharp rise in federal debt.
Washington, D.C., October 17, 2025 | Economic Impact Analysis —
The National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP) has issued a stark warning about the economic consequences of President Donald Trump’s immigration policies. According to the report, the administration’s measures could shrink the U.S. labor force by 15.7 million people and cut GDP growth by nearly one-third, reducing America’s total economic output by over $12 trillion by 2035.
The NFAP projects that GDP growth will drop from an expected average of 1.8% to just 1.3% annually between 2025 and 2035. The report emphasizes that both legal and illegal immigration restrictions—including the 2025 travel ban, tighter STEM OPT visa rules, and stricter public charge regulations—will lead to labor shortages, slower innovation, and weaker productivity.
By 2028, the U.S. could have 6.8 million fewer workers, with 2.8 million losses due to legal immigration limits and 4 million from illegal immigration policies. The analysis further reveals that the U.S. economy could lose 102 million worker-years by 2035, while federal debt could surge by $1.7 trillion due to reduced tax revenue and slower growth.
“This is the first comprehensive assessment to quantify both short-term and long-term damage from current immigration policies,” the NFAP stated. “Reduced immigration doesn’t just affect workers — it weakens America’s entire economic foundation.”
The findings arrive amid growing debate over Trump’s immigration agenda, which includes expanded deportation efforts, tight visa restrictions, and enhanced border controls. Economists warn that such measures could harm U.S. competitiveness, reduce consumer spending, and worsen demographic challenges like an aging workforce.
Experts argue that restoring immigrant inflows is vital for sustaining innovation, entrepreneurship, and labor market stability in the coming decade.
Disclaimer : This article is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered political advice or financial guidance. Readers are encouraged to verify findings and consult multiple credible sources for a balanced understanding of the topic.
